Monday, August 18, 2014

Lessons from the Cold War and Global Warming!

The cold war was a war that never came (THANKS FOR THAT!!) but which lessons can it teach us regarding Global Warming?

Global warming use to be a debate now is a certainty with more than 97% of scientists supporting it! The only question remaining is: Can WE change the out came or it is too late? Well, I most certainly don´t have the answers and I think no one does! Here the phrase “Time will tell!” is the only answer!

But can The Cold War teach us anything about Global Warming? I think it can! Global Warming as the name says is GLOBAL! Just like cold war! Because a nuclear war in Europe, USA, USSR, China and its zones of influence would destroy the conditions for humans to live on planet and not just in those countries directly bombed!

The strange and unexpected aspect of Global Warming is that for the first time, the POWER is in the hands of the poor! Developed countries used their natural resources and of other countries to become DEVELOPED! This is OK! This was done under the “Game’s rules”!

Now, less developed countries, like my Brazil are doing the same! But now developed countries wants to change the “Game’s rules!”. Developed countries are saying: Sorry you cannot use your natural resources (like we did) to develop because this will cause Global Warming! Sorry to say, we are going to do it! We are going to do it not because we want Global Warming but because we want development!

So what is the answer? What are the solutions?

Like in the Cold War, developed countries will have to do it first! HOW?

First we have to come to an agreement on what level of use by humans can this planet support! This in itself is very hard to do! After it, we can finally agree that the population has to go down (I believe, I don´t know because I cannot find data to support it). How we gone do it, I have no clue! I hope we still have time to do it through education! Once we done these maths, we can move to the real issue, the Natural Environment! Here my proposal is quite simple, same burden/cost to all countries! What will deter it is population! For every single citizen, all countries will have the same X m2 of Natural Environment to explore economically! These will be determined by math, so these calculus will show that developed countries will have to reduce their present areas of economic use of their Natural Environment. For less developed countries, there will have more areas to develop! Here there will be NO Carbon Credit bull shit! Developed countries will have to move factories, agricultural farming and everything else of economic development to less developed countries. These actions will make the areas that were used for economic use today in developed countries, back to Natural use leveling the burden! WHY? Let’s take the grains production in the USA, very efficient but its Natural conditions allow production is just a few months of the year! Move an American farmer to a tropical country with same economic conditions and his production will go up simply because he now can produce 12 months of the year!

What I am proposing is NOT a GLOBAL communist scheme! Sure American farmers will not move from Ohio to Nigeria! But an equal burden means that a lot of economic development present placed on developed countries will have to move! Just like it did towards CHINA, but it will be done not for economic reasons but by environment ones! So even if a country offer a better economic solution, if this country has reach his environment quota, sorry it has to go somewhere else! This is the only fair and equal burden solution I can see! If we do not share the cost equally we will never get an equal solution! Global Warming as its name says is GLOBAL! So country base talks or solution will not cut! We are running out of time fast!


BUT rest assures that less developed countries will develop! The only question remaining is: Will the planet support this development given the present conditions?

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